Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.570230 1.645542 1.723037 1.808883 1.901490 1.998568 2.108270
2026-01-11 1.455607 1.564056 1.680074 1.814006 1.965097 2.131142 2.328634
2026-01-18 1.374257 1.508089 1.656090 1.833237 2.041305 2.280232 2.578757
2026-01-25 1.287748 1.437785 1.608336 1.818834 2.074903 2.380726 2.780611
2026-02-01 1.204416 1.364014 1.549630 1.784755 2.079604 2.444223 2.941205
2026-02-08 1.118408 1.280851 1.473227 1.722064 2.041972 2.449270 3.024567
2026-02-15 1.059525 1.226357 1.427377 1.692717 2.042294 2.500561 3.171980
2026-02-22 1.016746 1.188744 1.399440 1.683055 2.065809 2.582461 3.368394
2026-03-01 0.972187 1.146253 1.362464 1.658400 2.066169 2.630924 3.519561
2026-03-08 0.915053 1.085081 1.298288 1.593490 2.006183 2.588247 3.526696
2026-03-15 0.887513 1.060441 1.280043 1.588836 2.029111 2.665829 3.728095
2026-03-22 0.874820 1.054198 1.285256 1.615925 2.098223 2.816528 4.065207
2026-03-29 0.840432 1.019906 1.253839 1.593611 2.098867 2.870785 4.262592
2026-04-05 0.818775 1.001744 1.243535 1.600880 2.144655 3.001491 4.618282
2026-04-12 0.802089 0.989517 1.240724 1.618751 2.208146 3.168256 5.073633
2026-04-19 0.777196 0.965030 1.219579 1.608143 2.225883 3.259869 5.400815
2026-04-26 0.748767 0.934537 1.188526 1.580731 2.214253 3.298797 5.626901
2026-05-03 0.714800 0.895162 1.143195 1.529131 2.159168 3.254250 5.663999
2026-05-10 0.691228 0.869518 1.116600 1.504983 2.148113 3.289268 5.888149
2026-05-17 0.673919 0.852050 1.101084 1.497120 2.163818 3.375776 6.252143
2026-05-24 0.654087 0.830310 1.078402 1.476644 2.156056 3.415914 6.511476
2026-05-31 0.625891 0.795820 1.035735 1.422327 2.085504 3.325462 6.417094
2026-06-07 0.613023 0.782950 1.024739 1.418470 2.104239 3.416361 6.826947